Fairfax County Flag Football League

The Swami

May 29, 2009
1:28 PM

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The West Division is much more complicated than the East Division. For one we have 4 teams who are mathematically alive going into the final week. The other complication is that Storm still has two games remaining. This division will be all wrapped up with three big games on Monday. Storm vs. Sharks; Magnums vs. Novas; and Storm vs. Novacaine. Here`s how the division breaks down.

1. Sharks - have locked up the 1 seed.
2. Magnums - have locked up the 2 seed.

Here`s where it gets complicated so let`s go team-by-team and lay out the scenarios:

CCR NOVAS:
With a win over the Magnums the NOVAS secure a bid for the A Playoffs. If the NOVAS win and Novacaine loses then CCR gets teh 3rd seed and plays Greyhounds in Round 1. If NOVAS win and Novacaine wins then CCR gets the 4th seed and faces Triple Crown in Round 1. A loss for the NOVAS eliminates them from the A Playoffs.

Novacaine:
A win over Storm gives Novacaine the 3rd seed and a matchup with Greyhounds in the 1st Round. If Novacaine loses and NOVAS lose then they are guaranteed a spot in the A Playoffs. Under this situation they will get the 3rd seed if the Storm loses to the Sharks because then we would have a 4-way tie breaker and they would be 2-1 against the tied teams but have the head-to-head over the Hokies (who would also be 2-1 against the tied teams). Under this situation they would get the 4th seed if the Storm beats the Sharks (would be 2-0 against remaining tied teams). If Novacaine loses and NOVAS win then Novacaine is eliminated from the A Playoffs.

Storm:
Beat the Sharks and Novacaines and NOVAS lose then Storm gets the 3 seed. Beat Sharks and Novacaine and NOVAS win then Storm gets the 4 seed. If they beat the Sharks and Novacaine AND the NOVAS win then Storm will have to beat Novacaine by 24 points to get the 4th seed in the A Playoffs (this is the only way they beat the Hokies on point differential vs. tied opponents). Lose both games and the Storm is eliminated. Lose Sharks, beat Novacaine, but the NOVAS lose that creates a 4-way tie for 2 playoff spots and the Storm loses out on the tiebreaker. Most likely the Storm will not be able to hand the Sharks their first loss so that means they will need to beat Novacaine by 24 points to have a legit shot at making the A Playoffs.

Hokies:
There are 3 scenarios where the Hokies can make the playoffs as the 4th seed. All other scenarios will eliminate them from the A League Playoffs. Scenario 1: Novacaine wins and NOVAS lose - Hokies have tiebreaker over NOVAS and Storm. Scenario 2: NOVAS win, Storm loses to Sharks and beat Novacaine by less than 24 points - Hokies have tiebreaker over Storm and Novacaine based on point differential against them. Scenario 3: NOVAS lose, Storm loses to Sharks but beats Novacaine - Hokies have tiebreaker over NOVAS and Storm.

Lake Fairfax is the place to be on Monday night with 3 big games that will decide which two teams sneak into the A Playoffs out of the West Division.

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